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SolarWinds Corp (SWI)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- SolarWinds delivered Q2 revenue of $193.3M (+4% YoY) and produced its highest adjusted EBITDA in 15 quarters at $92.5M (48% margin), both exceeding the high end of guidance, underscoring disciplined execution amid a steady macro backdrop .
- Subscription momentum remained robust: Subscription revenue rose 31% YoY, Subscription ARR grew 36% YoY to $269.9M, and Total ARR reached $704.7M (+7% YoY), while recurring revenue accounted for 93% of total revenue .
- Full-year 2024 outlook was raised across revenue ($778–$788M), adjusted EBITDA ($368–$375M), and non-GAAP EPS ($1.04–$1.08); Q3 2024 guidance calls for revenue of $191–$196M, adjusted EBITDA of $90–$93M, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.24–$0.26 .
- Potential stock catalysts: raised FY guide and durable profitability, continued ARR expansion, debt refinancing (SOFR +2.75%, maturity extended to 2030), and management noting a favorable court order largely granting its motion to dismiss in the SEC matter (July 18) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Executed above the high end of guidance on revenue and adjusted EBITDA; CEO highlighted “highest quarterly adjusted EBITDA of the past 15 quarters” and ongoing product innovation (e.g., AI by Design, HCO enhancements) .
- Subscription-first transition is working: Subscription revenue +31% YoY, Subscription ARR +36% YoY; trailing 12-mo maintenance renewal rate at 97% with 93% recurring revenue mix .
- Balance sheet actions improved flexibility: term loan refinanced in July to SOFR +2.75% (−50 bps) and extended to Feb 2030; cash and short-term investments at $169.6M .
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What Went Wrong
- License revenue declined 17% YoY as the subscription-first motion continues to depress perpetual licenses; maintenance revenue also declined 5% YoY due to migrations to subscription .
- GAAP diluted EPS declined sequentially ($0.06 vs $0.09 in Q1) amid higher tax expense in Q2; management still emphasizes non-GAAP profitability .
- Street comparison unavailable via our S&P Global feed; while results topped company guidance, the inability to benchmark Street consensus limits external beat/miss framing this quarter (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates error].
Financial Results
Segment/Mix
Key KPIs
Notes on non-GAAP: Non-GAAP results exclude stock-based compensation and related payroll taxes, amortization of acquired intangibles/technologies, restructuring costs, acquisition/other costs, Cyber Incident costs (net), and certain other items; reconciliations provided in the press release .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In Q2, we continued the momentum… exceeding the high end of our guidance for total revenue and adjusted EBITDA, and delivering our highest quarterly adjusted EBITDA of the past 15 quarters.” — Sudhakar Ramakrishna, CEO .
- “We ended the second quarter with total ARR of $705 million… subscription ARR… $270 million, an increase of 36% year-over-year.” — J. Barton Kalsu, CFO .
- “Our maintenance renewal rate is at 97% on a trailing 12-month basis and was 97% for the second quarter.” — J. Barton Kalsu, CFO .
- “In July, we refinanced our term loan, decreasing the interest rate by 50 basis points… and extended the maturity to February 2030.” — J. Barton Kalsu, CFO .
- On SEC case: “Judge Engelmayer largely agreed with our motion to dismiss… on Thursday, July 18th.” — Sudhakar Ramakrishna, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Macro and pipeline: No material change vs Q1; partner program continues to extend reach while maintaining expense discipline .
- AI monetization: ITSM AI features in a premium tier with higher ASP; hybrid model lets self-hosted customers use cloud AI extensions; AI permeates across portfolio beyond ITSM .
- Subscription revenue vs ARR: Flattish subscription revenue QoQ reflects rev rec dynamics (on-prem HCO) and seasonality; ARR is better health indicator; expect subscription revenue to increase in H2 .
- Investments vs margins: With EBITDA above mid-40s target, management may lean into investments to accelerate roadmap and GTM, balancing growth/profitability into 2025 .
- Migration pace: Broadened from NA to EMEA and APJ; seeing consistent results across geographies as partners and sales prioritize conversion .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable via our feed for SWI this quarter (tool mapping error), so we cannot quantify Street revenue/EPS vs actuals; the company exceeded the high end of its own Q2 guidance on revenue and adjusted EBITDA, and raised full-year guidance across revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and non-GAAP EPS .
- Given the raised FY 2024 ranges, Street models will need to align upward to at least the new midpoints for revenue ($783M), adjusted EBITDA (~$371.5M), and non-GAAP EPS ($1.06) absent contrary views .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Durable execution: Two consecutive quarters above guidance with high-40s adjusted EBITDA margins despite a steady but unspectacular macro; non-GAAP operating margin ~45% reflects structural discipline .
- Subscription transition on track: +36% Subscription ARR and 93% recurring revenue mix reduce volatility and support visibility; continued HCO adoption and >$100k ARR customer growth are positive quality signals .
- FY guide raised: Upward revisions to revenue, EBITDA, and EPS suggest confidence into H2; Q3 guide remains prudent, setting a bar that appears achievable given recent trends .
- Capital structure strengthened: July refi to SOFR+2.75% and extended maturity to 2030 lowers interest burden and liquidity risk; net leverage ~3x post special dividend .
- AI/observability narrative building: “AI by Design” and ITSM AI monetization can enhance pricing/mix, while AIOps capabilities deepen differentiation in hybrid observability and database management .
- Watch items: Continued decline in license revenue and maintenance (as intended) should be offset by subscription growth; monitor sequential subscription revenue trajectory in H2 and the pace of global migrations .
- Legal overhang: Court’s July order largely agreeing with SolarWinds’ motion to dismiss may reduce event risk perception, but case is not fully concluded; management remains focused on operations .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Cash & short-term investments: $169.6M at 6/30/24; Total debt ~$1.21B .
- Q2 GAAP net income: $11.1M; non-GAAP diluted EPS: $0.26; weighted avg diluted shares ~172.6M in Q2 .
- Non-GAAP adjustments include stock-based comp, amortization, restructuring, acquisition/other costs, and Cyber Incident costs (net); see reconciliations .